Rate-cut odds, who's long Yes, and where smart flow disagrees with the crowd.
by pollwatcher · 4 widgets · live Polymarket data via Polynyx · 2,219 views
| Title | Outcome | Smart Wallets | Net Flow | Avg Entry | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 3 | $31k | 67¢ | 19.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 5 | $26k | 66¢ | 22.4% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 4 | $15k | 81¢ | 14.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 5 | $13k | 61¢ | 36.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4 | $11k | 66¢ | 22.6% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 1 | $11k | 33¢ | 52.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1 | $10k | 24¢ | 73.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 2 | $10k | 69¢ | 30% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 2 | $9k | 71¢ | 20.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2 | $9k | 74¢ | 26.5% |
| Label | Health | Live Signal Count |
|---|---|---|
| Sharp money | benchmark | 55 |
| Stacked conviction | retired | 27 |
| Fresh sharp money | healthy | 49 |
| Heavy backing | underperforming | 30 |
| Prime sharps | underperforming | 20 |
| Deep favorites | retired | 29 |
| Unanimous sharps | retired | 9 |
| Early entry | underperforming | 37 |
| Late carry | retired | 9 |
| Liquid markets | healthy | 49 |
| Consensus mass | underperforming | 39 |
| Combos | retired | 4 |