Government-shutdown odds and the politics wallets with the best month.
by quietwhale · 4 widgets · live Polymarket data via Polynyx · 392 views
| Title | Outcome | Smart Wallets | Net Flow | Avg Entry | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2 | $45k | 72¢ | 22.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 5 | $26k | 66¢ | 26.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 5 | $13k | 61¢ | 36.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4 | $11k | 66¢ | 22.6% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 1 | $11k | 33¢ | 52.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 2 | $10k | 69¢ | 30% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 2 | $9k | 71¢ | 20.5% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 2 | $5k | 17¢ | 52.8% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 4 | $5k | 76¢ | 42% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1 | $5k | 36¢ | 31.9% |
| Label | Health | Live Signal Count |
|---|---|---|
| Sharp money | benchmark | 56 |
| Stacked conviction | retired | 27 |
| Fresh sharp money | healthy | 50 |
| Heavy backing | underperforming | 25 |
| Prime sharps | underperforming | 18 |
| Deep favorites | retired | 24 |
| Unanimous sharps | retired | 9 |
| Early entry | underperforming | 36 |
| Late carry | retired | 6 |
| Liquid markets | healthy | 52 |
| Consensus mass | underperforming | 38 |
| Combos | retired | 4 |