ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 on Polymarket: 25 bps increase leads at 87%, ahead of No change at 12% and 50+ bps increase at 1%. 5 outcomes are listed, $55k has traded on the event, $16k sits in the books; it closes Dec 17, 2026. The week's biggest move is 25 bps increase, +22.5 pts. 7 ranked wallets back 25 bps increase at an average entry of 71¢. Every smart wallet on 25 bps increase on Polynyx ↗
Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 bps increase | 87% | live | ||
| 2No change | 12% | live | ||
| 350+ bps increase | 1% | live | ||
| 450+ bps decrease | 0% | live | ||
| 525 bps decrease | 0% | live |
Where the proven wallets are positioned and what is trading most right now — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.