Who is favored to win Fed Decision in January? on Polymarket?

No change, at 70%, ahead of 25 bps increase at 25%; $1.1M has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of Fed Decision in January??

No change 70%, 25 bps increase 25%, 25 bps decrease 2%, 50+ bps increase 1%, 50+ bps decrease 1%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on No change, the Fed & Rates markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Economics · Fed & Rates · 5 outcomes · live

Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January? on Polymarket: No change leads at 70%, ahead of 25 bps increase at 25% and 25 bps decrease at 2%. 5 outcomes are listed, $1.1M has traded on the event, $569k sits in the books; it closes Jan 28, 2027. The week's biggest move is 25 bps increase, −4 pts. 3 ranked wallets back No change at an average entry of 65¢. Every smart wallet on No change on Polynyx ↗