Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner on Polymarket: The Black Ball leads at 44%, ahead of The Odyssey at 22% and The Invite at 21%. 15 outcomes are listed, $50k has traded on the event, $22k sits in the books; it closes Jul 1, 2027. The week's biggest move is Dune: Part Three, +4.5 pts. 1 ranked wallet are fading The Black Ball at an average entry of 71¢. Every smart wallet on The Black Ball on Polynyx ↗
Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1The Black Ball | 44% | live | ||
| 2The Odyssey | 22% | live | ||
| 3The Invite | 21% | live | ||
| 4Dune: Part Three | 5% | live | ||
| 5All of a Sudden | 2% | live | ||
| 6Project Hail Mary | 2% | live | ||
| 7The Social Reckoning | 1% | live | ||
| 8The Adventures of Cliff Booth | 1% | live | ||
| 9Ink | 1% | live | ||
| 10Saturn Return | 1% | live | ||
| 11Cry to Heaven | 1% | live | ||
| 12Toy Story 5 | 0% | live | ||
| 13Clarissa | 0% | live | ||
| 14The Whisper Man | 0% | live | ||
| 15Wildwood | 0% | live |
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