No 100% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢). Volume $384k, liquidity $1.5M. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Which Senate Swing States will Republic… →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $14.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $6.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 21% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $6.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 26% | $4.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $3.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 78% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.5M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 63% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.2M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 64% · David Jolly (D) 37% | $1.0M |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank | Yes | 2.0M |
| 0x2c33…0563 | Yes | 94k |
| NAN | Yes | 90k |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 85k |
| Sfs99 | Yes | 28k |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 25k |
| HOG993 | Yes | 16k |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 16k |
| nigiri99 | Yes | 13k |
| MMH5 | Yes | 13k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2.5M |
| lissartter | No | 1k |
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