No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢). Volume $283k, liquidity $328k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Which Senate Swing States will Republic… →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $16.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $3.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 24% | $3.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.6M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $824k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 61% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 40% | $550k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank | Yes | 2.0M |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 168k |
| anciano | Yes | 60k |
| HOG993 | Yes | 55k |
| Gucky-45 | Yes | 24k |
| 0x2c33…0563 | Yes | 19k |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 18k |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 13k |
| 11122 | Yes | 10k |
| 0xa9b4…95b1 | Yes | 10k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2.5M |
| BunCaCham | No | 555 |
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