No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢). Volume $794k, liquidity $294k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Which Senate Swing States will Republic… →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $13.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 24% | $2.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.6M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $824k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 60% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 40% | $522k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank | Yes | 1.6M |
| rg0h3nqbe | Yes | 488k |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 170k |
| HOG993 | Yes | 50k |
| 881112 | Yes | 20k |
| Gucky-45 | Yes | 20k |
| 0x2c33…0563 | Yes | 19k |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 14k |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 10k |
| 0x49F206 | Yes | 5k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2.5M |
| Late4CakeJohn | No | 221 |
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