No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $318k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Marco Rubio 17% · Ron DeSantis 14% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% · Gavin Newsom 14% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $1.5M |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 43% · David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% | $660k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 28% | $265k |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes 22% · No 78% | $33k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| lpgb | Yes | $8.81 |
| IngressDefender | Yes | $2.19 |
| 0xdbbf… | Yes | −$10 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | −$6.52 |
| EEbets | Yes | −$5 |
| 0x49f2… | Yes | −$4.40 |
| Briggsman | Yes | −$2.88 |
| Midterms1 | Yes | −$2 |
| 11122 | Yes | −$1.72 |
| ccxxoo22 | Yes | −$1.14 |
| navber | Yes | −$1.01 |
| norealtime | Yes | −$1 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 2 biggest winners took $11; the 16 biggest losers gave up $42. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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