No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 99¢). Volume $419k, liquidity $135k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Which Senate Swing States will Republic… →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $14.0M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $3.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $2.8M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.5M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $889k |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $872k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank | Yes | 2.1M |
| 0x2c33…0563 | Yes | 74k |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 70k |
| anciano | Yes | 36k |
| legioncre | Yes | 33k |
| HOG993 | Yes | 27k |
| AzariahJuby | Yes | 15k |
| Gucky-45 | Yes | 12k |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 10k |
| TaxIsTheft | Yes | 10k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2.5M |
| BunCaCham | No | 555 |
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