Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $2.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $508k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 69% · Arthur Rinderknech 32% | $480k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $465k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $344k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| leurop0 | Yes | $45.20 |
| 0x3564… | Yes | $40.75 |
| GeneralL | Yes | $29.70 |
| ddd141 | Yes | $16.50 |
| johnsalchichon | Yes | $13.59 |
| 0x825d… | Yes | $6.80 |
| Everygg | Yes | $5 |
| 0x3b79… | Yes | $4.57 |
| brra | Yes | $4.18 |
| HHR-TEST1 | Yes | $4.18 |
| annont | Yes | $4.18 |
| galhammerman | Yes | $1.71 |
31 wallets held a position at the close. The 16 biggest winners took $180; the 15 biggest losers gave up $162. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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