Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $523. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Joe Kent 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.7M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Heat vs. Clippers | Heat 30% · Clippers 70% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $962k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $952k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $604k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 43% · David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $448k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LeechLord | Yes | $68.80 |
| annont | Yes | $24.64 |
| WunnaWun | Yes | $7.56 |
| univacca | Yes | $3.89 |
| makeit99 | Yes | $0.54 |
| financegaaaydog | No | −$16.83 |
| imoncada-1775398841571 | No | −$9.45 |
7 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $105; the 2 biggest losers gave up $26. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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