Daniel Merida Aguilar won. Smart money backed Marton Fucsovics (17 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢) and lost. Volume $168k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $983k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $674k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze | Elena Pridankina 19% · Alexandra Shubladze 82% | $482k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $355k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ssj3 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $1k |
| ChompChomp888 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $775.72 |
| 0x05e3… | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $539.60 |
| eugenepol0 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $440.00 |
| Cbrojasg | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $204.07 |
| 0x291d… | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $170.23 |
| blessedna | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $123.60 |
| Liverpool1 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $117.28 |
| jzzck112 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $58.46 |
| JustSportsbettin69 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $54.40 |
| Clawbotazleeruiz9 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $39.60 |
| 0x2077… | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $37.16 |
117 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.0k; the 52 biggest losers gave up $7.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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