James Duckworth won. Smart money backed Matteo Arnaldi (21 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢) and lost. Volume $808k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 68% · No change 31% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $696k |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax | AFC Ajax 45% · FC Midtjylland 31% | $455k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $430k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $420k |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 40% · Bilibili Gaming 60% | $399k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Gourmet1 | James Duckworth | $13k |
| alexdave888 | James Duckworth | $9k |
| MartelloneNando | James Duckworth | $2k |
| zegg1 | James Duckworth | $2k |
| mermlok | James Duckworth | $2k |
| DAKWIN | Matteo Arnaldi | $1k |
| Sinnerr | James Duckworth | $1k |
| eslividich | James Duckworth | $989.64 |
| metama91 | Matteo Arnaldi | $834 |
| rewrewwrewrewrerwe | Matteo Arnaldi | $750.13 |
| eoneq | James Duckworth | $707.44 |
| 0xa0f2… | James Duckworth | $655.89 |
512 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $39k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $150k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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