Marton Fucsovics won. Smart money backed Luca Van Assche (22 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $443k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $912k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $655k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $351k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $337k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| riverskew | Marton Fucsovics | $5k |
| Importante | Marton Fucsovics | $3k |
| flkjelfjelkwjglejrgkegl | Marton Fucsovics | $2k |
| 0xaa08… | Marton Fucsovics | $2k |
| Cheryl8243 | Marton Fucsovics | $1k |
| koshmaw | Marton Fucsovics | $867.75 |
| catzard | Marton Fucsovics | $858.06 |
| Xyen | Marton Fucsovics | $313.00 |
| tiancai0620 | Marton Fucsovics | $286.18 |
| 0x930b… | Marton Fucsovics | $258.03 |
| 0xc0f3… | Marton Fucsovics | $251.27 |
| 0x6b68… | Marton Fucsovics | $177.10 |
300 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $17k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $13k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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