Matthew William Donald won. Smart money backed Marko Bekeni (4 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $24k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% · John McEntee 0% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 3% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 76% · No change 24% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva | Antonia Ruzic 72% · Alina Charaeva 28% | $741k |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 95% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 4% | $645k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $498k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% · JD Vance 13% | $486k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 16% · No 85% | $479k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| makizinchers | Matthew William Donald | $55.75 |
| avotrade | Matthew William Donald | $31.24 |
| 0x87f7… | Matthew William Donald | $22.54 |
| Sacrod | Matthew William Donald | $8.98 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Matthew William Donald | $4.50 |
| temparal | Matthew William Donald | $2.79 |
| MeBetting | Matthew William Donald | $2.43 |
| 0x9be8… | Matthew William Donald | $2.30 |
| Favorite-Cave-Muscat | Matthew William Donald | $2.06 |
| rayvanmechelen | Matthew William Donald | $1.74 |
| igot50k | Matthew William Donald | $1.47 |
| 0xe8d8… | Matthew William Donald | $0.62 |
21 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $136; the 9 biggest losers gave up $293. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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