Yaroslav Demin won. Smart money backed Petr Bar Biryukov (5 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $617k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Eagles 31% · Commanders 70% | $3.7M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA, KS 9% · MI 1% | $3.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 72% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 30% | $827k |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) | Commanders 41% · Eagles 60% | $765k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x2c33… | Yaroslav Demin | $66k |
| Kkunn | Yaroslav Demin | $12k |
| alpheclabs2 | Yaroslav Demin | $11k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Yaroslav Demin | $11k |
| Luzzzer | Petr Bar Biryukov | $5k |
| Woaifacai | Yaroslav Demin | $5k |
| TRCM | Yaroslav Demin | $2k |
| flatbarrel | Yaroslav Demin | $2k |
| SlickRick123 | Yaroslav Demin | $2k |
| lkjasdf | Yaroslav Demin | $1k |
| 0x6379… | Yaroslav Demin | $1k |
| SchruteBucks | Yaroslav Demin | $1k |
273 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $129k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $109k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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