Raul Brancaccio won. Smart money backed Calvin Hemery (11 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $796k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.8M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 41% · BetBoom Team 59% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $949k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Kamala Harris 4% | $744k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 19% | $482k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 30% | $425k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $387k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 300-319 87% · 320-339 11% · 340-359 1% | $271k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| kdvlklkvlsklkfs | Raul Brancaccio | $81k |
| naeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee | Calvin Hemery | $3k |
| naeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee | Raul Brancaccio | $2k |
| 0x9d8e… | Calvin Hemery | $1k |
| 0x18b0… | Calvin Hemery | $558.64 |
| ReillyOpelka | Raul Brancaccio | $511.14 |
| arman1969 | Raul Brancaccio | $480 |
| Holden56 | Raul Brancaccio | $444.52 |
| SOK0L | Raul Brancaccio | $347.79 |
| 0x9d8e… | Raul Brancaccio | $344.79 |
| timurdrevoz | Raul Brancaccio | $335.87 |
| netvsee | Raul Brancaccio | $202 |
160 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $93k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $93k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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