Alexandre Muller won. Smart money backed Charles Broom (12 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $137k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 92% · Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań) 6% · KKS Lech Poznań 2% | $1.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 42% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $1.0M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $526k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 50% · Suns 51% | $496k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 52% · Heat 49% | $466k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x54ba… | Alexandre Muller | $5k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Alexandre Muller | $3k |
| TennisAce1 | Alexandre Muller | $2k |
| LightParadox | Alexandre Muller | $1k |
| Venusian | Alexandre Muller | $1k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Alexandre Muller | $1k |
| MadridTime | Alexandre Muller | $716.96 |
| the1prophet | Alexandre Muller | $686.10 |
| username122 | Alexandre Muller | $508.98 |
| Oulu18 | Alexandre Muller | $371.17 |
| 0x5ecc… | Alexandre Muller | $351.14 |
| DCAAA | Alexandre Muller | $301.10 |
240 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $21k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $30k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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