Alexander Bublik won. Smart money backed Brandon Nakashima (7 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢) and lost. Volume $927k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $4.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos | Chiefs 63% · Broncos 38% | $1.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 75% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $993k |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $805k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $796k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Alexander Bublik | $15k |
| 0x760f… | Alexander Bublik | $14k |
| 0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9 | Alexander Bublik | $6k |
| 0x241a… | Alexander Bublik | $4k |
| MilesY | Alexander Bublik | $3k |
| 0xwise | Alexander Bublik | $2k |
| 0xe98c… | Alexander Bublik | $2k |
| petyas231 | Alexander Bublik | $2k |
| User.0xE | Alexander Bublik | $2k |
| dapr | Alexander Bublik | $1k |
| LuckeeX | Alexander Bublik | $943.65 |
| fishermm | Alexander Bublik | $931.50 |
480 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $63k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $151k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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