Jan-Lennard Struff won. Smart money backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli (18 ranked wallets, average entry 36¢) and lost. Volume $144k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Marco Rubio 19% · Joe Kent 2% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $899k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 29% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $886k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $496k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $431k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $402k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 53% · No 48% | $349k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $327k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| AV23IUa | Jan-Lennard Struff | $8k |
| comon119 | Jan-Lennard Struff | $2k |
| NiNo999 | Jan-Lennard Struff | $2k |
| hobo69 | Jan-Lennard Struff | $956.97 |
| Cuco84 | Jan-Lennard Struff | $562.50 |
| EVhunter69 | Jan-Lennard Struff | $503.13 |
| jcqrubio | Jan-Lennard Struff | $429.35 |
| GL--GL | Jan-Lennard Struff | $265.87 |
| dafguj | Jan-Lennard Struff | $248.37 |
| 0x15ee… | Jan-Lennard Struff | $156.63 |
| Nerwan | Jan-Lennard Struff | $141.34 |
| 0xf444… | Jan-Lennard Struff | $126.26 |
202 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $16k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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