Stefan Kozlov won. Smart money backed Murphy Cassone (10 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $107k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $941k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $922k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $695k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 52% · T1 20% · Bilibili Gaming 14% | $394k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $346k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| TennisAce1 | Stefan Kozlov | $5k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Stefan Kozlov | $2k |
| MadridTime | Stefan Kozlov | $668.61 |
| xutuu | Stefan Kozlov | $574.46 |
| Notradecopy | Stefan Kozlov | $365.45 |
| VeryLucky888 | Stefan Kozlov | $270 |
| LightParadox | Stefan Kozlov | $147.58 |
| Venusian | Stefan Kozlov | $143.02 |
| the1prophet | Stefan Kozlov | $119.68 |
| clownly | Stefan Kozlov | $105.61 |
| Val99977 | Stefan Kozlov | $80.40 |
| 0x61a6… | Stefan Kozlov | $79.75 |
110 wallets held a position at the close. The 55 biggest winners took $9.5k; the 55 biggest losers gave up $7.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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