Juan Manuel Cerundolo won. Smart money backed Nicolas Mejia (3 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $284k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · AK, IA, MI, OH 1% | $4.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.2M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $1.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 75% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $974k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $808k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $720k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 43% | $532k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Illiasca | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $7k |
| KioskJammer | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $2k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $1k |
| dimesalex | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $775.02 |
| LightParadox | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $590.03 |
| tenet-bot | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $372 |
| Limousin | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $354.05 |
| 0x0ebb… | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $235.29 |
| 0xd335… | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $228.81 |
| Scotty8153 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $204.12 |
| MinasMorgul | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $187.76 |
| Chrischo9090 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $148.38 |
354 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $15k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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