Raphael Collignon won. Smart money backed Ben Shelton (26 ranked wallets, average entry 65¢) and lost. Volume $724k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.2M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $870k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez | Mika Stojsavljevic 12% · Zeynep Sonmez 88% | $648k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $539k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $333k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| funfield | Raphael Collignon | $9k |
| joblessfinalboss | Raphael Collignon | $7k |
| destropyer | Raphael Collignon | $7k |
| frankfrankfrank | Raphael Collignon | $3k |
| Ivanet109 | Raphael Collignon | $3k |
| 0x5101… | Raphael Collignon | $2k |
| deeppump | Raphael Collignon | $2k |
| kasongoYeah | Raphael Collignon | $2k |
| eleonora76 | Raphael Collignon | $1k |
| RichiTP | Raphael Collignon | $1k |
| 0x4c6c… | Raphael Collignon | $961.58 |
| 0x9438… | Raphael Collignon | $839.59 |
961 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $49k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $102k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.