Tommaso Compagnucci won. Smart money backed Juan Manuel La Serna (13 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $338k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $713k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 43% · Luca Van Assche 57% | $586k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $422k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $391k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $370k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| RDXR | Tommaso Compagnucci | $5k |
| darec | Juan Manuel La Serna | $492.63 |
| lastdance67 | Tommaso Compagnucci | $423.67 |
| DDPOLY | Tommaso Compagnucci | $383.21 |
| Limp2026 | Tommaso Compagnucci | $317.04 |
| mztkn2026 | Tommaso Compagnucci | $232.72 |
| 0xmmwhale | Tommaso Compagnucci | $215.00 |
| riitmo | Tommaso Compagnucci | $186.08 |
| 0xcbef… | Tommaso Compagnucci | $170.37 |
| KJ31 | Tommaso Compagnucci | $168.16 |
| 0xe6a5… | Tommaso Compagnucci | $158.91 |
| Gadgetin | Tommaso Compagnucci | $148.93 |
342 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $10k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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