Darwin Blanch won. Smart money backed Andrew Fenty (4 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $926k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $819k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $692k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic | Xinyu Wang 42% · Antonia Ruzic 58% | $344k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $336k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LightParadox | Darwin Blanch | $181.02 |
| 0x7462… | Darwin Blanch | $168.11 |
| crispy-avocado | Darwin Blanch | $116 |
| MadridTime | Darwin Blanch | $73.90 |
| Arcus-AI | Darwin Blanch | $39.91 |
| Venusian | Darwin Blanch | $37.23 |
| 0x1eea… | Darwin Blanch | $19.88 |
| 7figtc | Darwin Blanch | $15.30 |
| JuliiaDiamond | Darwin Blanch | $12.09 |
| ET65 | Darwin Blanch | $10.50 |
| 0xf455… | Darwin Blanch | $6.97 |
| 0xakwz | Darwin Blanch | $6 |
40 wallets held a position at the close. The 29 biggest winners took $725; the 11 biggest losers gave up $1.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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