Jonas Forejtek won. Smart money backed Ryan Seggerman (5 ranked wallets, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $43k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $962k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $926k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $694k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $332k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 52% · No 49% | $310k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Jonas Forejtek | $1k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Jonas Forejtek | $759.64 |
| 0x87f7… | Jonas Forejtek | $652.73 |
| Ivan948 | Ryan Seggerman | $549.59 |
| did-i-ask-for-the-physio | Jonas Forejtek | $474.82 |
| Secondary-Nectar-Snap | Jonas Forejtek | $248.95 |
| Mother-Teresa | Jonas Forejtek | $208.62 |
| LongshotLouis | Jonas Forejtek | $161.54 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Jonas Forejtek | $129.51 |
| goofybot | Ryan Seggerman | $102.76 |
| alfonsopozzo | Ryan Seggerman | $73.96 |
| Playforkeeps | Ryan Seggerman | $57.54 |
84 wallets held a position at the close. The 48 biggest winners took $5.2k; the 36 biggest losers gave up $2.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.