Marcos Giron won. Smart money backed Justin Boulais (3 ranked wallets, average entry 45¢) and lost. Volume $195k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $941k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $919k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $695k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 43% · David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $401k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $332k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| kkookkoo | Marcos Giron | $4k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Marcos Giron | $3k |
| astapzippo | Marcos Giron | $2k |
| Venusian | Marcos Giron | $1k |
| omnibus-076daa | Marcos Giron | $1k |
| Limousin | Marcos Giron | $957.72 |
| 0x02fd… | Marcos Giron | $476.03 |
| 0xa0f2… | Marcos Giron | $414.21 |
| 0x9410… | Justin Boulais | $377.28 |
| .d-.-b. | Marcos Giron | $230.47 |
| MadridTime | Marcos Giron | $228.76 |
| 0x5ab5… | Justin Boulais | $219.36 |
225 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $19k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $33k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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