Sebastian Gorzny won. Smart money backed Raphael Collignon (22 ranked wallets, average entry 69¢) and lost. Volume $439k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $593k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $448k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $426k |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva | Mai Hontama 87% · Zhibek Kulambayeva 13% | $348k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $339k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Brimoz | Sebastian Gorzny | $9k |
| 0x7e93… | Sebastian Gorzny | $4k |
| 0xa0f2… | Sebastian Gorzny | $3k |
| zockdo | Sebastian Gorzny | $2k |
| LucianoRS | Sebastian Gorzny | $1k |
| Jsuehehwywyw6 | Sebastian Gorzny | $923.18 |
| AleAleAlejandro | Sebastian Gorzny | $589.65 |
| 0x48cf… | Sebastian Gorzny | $573.70 |
| ShunTheNonBeliever. | Sebastian Gorzny | $525.24 |
| MAINCHIKATILO | Sebastian Gorzny | $383.11 |
| 0xda70… | Sebastian Gorzny | $379.22 |
| DAKWIN | Sebastian Gorzny | $363.76 |
333 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $28k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $61k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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