Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg won. Smart money backed Ugo Blanchet (3 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢) and lost. Volume $339k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.2M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $6.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $3.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.2M |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 39% · Seahawks 62% | $624k |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 79% · Pacers 22% | $588k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| watcherz88 | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $4k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $896.05 |
| avo-edge | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $562.86 |
| nick10s | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $101.60 |
| dafguj | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $53.87 |
| traderwins180 | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $51.88 |
| EVryBet4 | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $47.28 |
| ccwoods00 | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $36.54 |
| 0x249e… | Ugo Blanchet | $35.54 |
| 12efn12 | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $25.65 |
| sportsbettingfund | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $22.50 |
| heymmen | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $21.61 |
124 wallets held a position at the close. The 53 biggest winners took $6.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $13k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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