Hubert Hurkacz won. Smart money backed Sebastian Ofner (23 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $243k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Donald Trump 1% | $3.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 2% | $869k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $766k |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers 79% · Suns 21% | $430k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 41% · David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $413k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| HordonHekko | Hubert Hurkacz | $2k |
| NeraZZ | Hubert Hurkacz | $408.06 |
| 0x48ed… | Hubert Hurkacz | $286.65 |
| AgileGalaxy169 | Hubert Hurkacz | $276 |
| 0x7932… | Hubert Hurkacz | $275.26 |
| SALALL | Hubert Hurkacz | $192.50 |
| 0xf333… | Hubert Hurkacz | $118.80 |
| Masturbator | Hubert Hurkacz | $98.57 |
| Kiko596 | Hubert Hurkacz | $93.77 |
| heymmen | Hubert Hurkacz | $89.12 |
| Likingtrak | Hubert Hurkacz | $71.84 |
| 0xf0d1… | Hubert Hurkacz | $58.08 |
296 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.8k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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