Valentin Vacherot won. Smart money backed Jiri Lehecka (4 ranked wallets, average entry 63¢) and lost. Volume $649k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 78% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.1M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 7% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 96% · Republican Party 5% | $3.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 22% | $2.8M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $987k |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $963k |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 38% · Seahawks 62% | $617k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan8s | Valentin Vacherot | $37k |
| tennistrader20 | Valentin Vacherot | $12k |
| VD721lsj4938Dk388 | Valentin Vacherot | $9k |
| Bryan1316 | Valentin Vacherot | $6k |
| 0x7750… | Valentin Vacherot | $5k |
| wingwingwin | Valentin Vacherot | $5k |
| shaw | Valentin Vacherot | $4k |
| 0xf924… | Valentin Vacherot | $4k |
| 0xe166… | Valentin Vacherot | $3k |
| Khalipa | Valentin Vacherot | $3k |
| MrDouche | Valentin Vacherot | $3k |
| skitit | Valentin Vacherot | $3k |
431 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $123k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $92k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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