Carlo Alberto Caniato won. Smart money backed Francesco Maestrelli (11 ranked wallets, average entry 35¢) and lost. Volume $108k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.6M |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.4M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 57% · Carlos Alcaraz 43% | $1.3M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 19% · Glenn Youngkin 0% | $653k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 32% | $483k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 83% | $458k |
| Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC | Everton FC 59% · Coventry City FC 17% | $431k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | T1 65% · Karmine Corp 36% | $406k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| MadridTime | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $13k |
| Venusian | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $7k |
| Limousin | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $3k |
| 0xf12f… | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $3k |
| LightParadox | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $2k |
| thestingsnake | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $2k |
| omnibus-076daa | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $1k |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $853.44 |
| TRCM | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $666.56 |
| 0x02a9… | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $425.34 |
| 0xf8e4… | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $402.69 |
| DCAAA | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $334.56 |
181 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $37k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $30k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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