Adrian Mannarino won. Smart money backed Alex Molcan (6 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $630k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 11% · IA 11% | $3.7M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 61% · Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC) 23% · Liverpool FC 16% | $1.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 56% · Under 45% | $1.3M |
| Browns vs. Steelers | Browns 35% · Steelers 66% | $880k |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Steelers 50% · Browns 50% | $684k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $594k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Adrian Mannarino | $9k |
| 01258787xy48487484545122 | Adrian Mannarino | $5k |
| 0xf12f… | Adrian Mannarino | $4k |
| 0xc1a9… | Adrian Mannarino | $2k |
| mntsdxs | Adrian Mannarino | $924.94 |
| Vanaske | Adrian Mannarino | $568.35 |
| ShoveIsAllYouNeed | Adrian Mannarino | $468.74 |
| Tagan1 | Adrian Mannarino | $231.47 |
| did-i-ask-for-the-physio | Adrian Mannarino | $231.16 |
| 0x7932… | Adrian Mannarino | $138.37 |
| 1MillionInc-v1 | Adrian Mannarino | $119.63 |
| 1MillionInc-V2 | Adrian Mannarino | $114.90 |
223 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $24k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $54k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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