Jake Delaney won. Smart money backed Hayato Matsuoka (4 ranked wallets, average entry 69¢) and lost. Volume $395k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $4.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos | Chiefs 58% · Broncos 42% | $1.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 76% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $993k |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? | Yes 82% · No 18% | $805k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $796k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x78be… | Jake Delaney | $57k |
| alexdave888 | Jake Delaney | $16k |
| hellonewday | Jake Delaney | $475.12 |
| Hhnm | Jake Delaney | $447.23 |
| name-no-name | Jake Delaney | $334.54 |
| Gewin | Jake Delaney | $248.95 |
| lifeonrock | Jake Delaney | $222.43 |
| Pandaboss | Jake Delaney | $141.63 |
| 0xe4a7… | Jake Delaney | $132.78 |
| ProbSniper | Jake Delaney | $120.31 |
| edisonc | Jake Delaney | $118.23 |
| Maryyyyyy | Jake Delaney | $114.92 |
272 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $77k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $32k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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