Jakub Mensik won. Smart money backed Jurij Rodionov (6 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $97k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $972k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 2% · Ivanka Trump 1% | $842k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $691k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic | Xinyu Wang 64% · Antonia Ruzic 36% | $366k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $336k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hobo69 | Jakub Mensik | $400 |
| 0x03f0… | Jakub Mensik | $71.55 |
| Cbrojasg | Jakub Mensik | $32.91 |
| 0xa0f2… | Jakub Mensik | $30.28 |
| JakeHursty | Jakub Mensik | $22.41 |
| 0xd09b… | Jakub Mensik | $14.94 |
| 0x9ccf… | Jakub Mensik | $9.95 |
| HeitGwinni | Jakub Mensik | $8.71 |
| Neludos | Jakub Mensik | $7.67 |
| nutellaboi | Jakub Mensik | $7.47 |
| bericher | Jakub Mensik | $6.82 |
| 0x10bc… | Jakub Mensik | $4.90 |
68 wallets held a position at the close. The 45 biggest winners took $669; the 23 biggest losers gave up $750. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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