August Holmgren won. Volume $40k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.8M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 12% · IA, KS 7% | $6.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $3.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 25% | $3.1M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.5M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $1.4M |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 39% · Seahawks 62% | $797k |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 77% · Pacers 24% | $788k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Accomplished-Framework | August Holmgren | $499.57 |
| Quanttennis | August Holmgren | $428.31 |
| CandleHammerDrums | August Holmgren | $322.32 |
| WinLogic | August Holmgren | $84 |
| xxxzibit | August Holmgren | $66.45 |
| Arcus-AI | August Holmgren | $61.82 |
| rodrod08 | August Holmgren | $54.54 |
| 0xa182… | August Holmgren | $38.55 |
| Salim0000 | August Holmgren | $36.76 |
| eFMBS | August Holmgren | $32.70 |
| 0xa6ba… | August Holmgren | $30.35 |
| littlebay | August Holmgren | $26.22 |
124 wallets held a position at the close. The 59 biggest winners took $2.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $6.7k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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