Daniel Milavsky won. Smart money backed Shunsuke Mitsui (6 ranked wallets, average entry 49¢) and lost. Volume $79k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.6M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Marco Rubio 9% | $944k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata | Luca Van Assche 84% · Rinky Hijikata 16% | $481k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $433k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 72% · Puma Shen 29% | $419k |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes 38% · No 62% | $341k |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette | Mai Hontama 11% · Magda Linette 89% | $341k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Escobarzzzz | Daniel Milavsky | $3k |
| Venusian | Daniel Milavsky | $2k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Daniel Milavsky | $1k |
| MadridTime | Daniel Milavsky | $504.66 |
| Limousin | Daniel Milavsky | $389.21 |
| the1prophet | Daniel Milavsky | $211.01 |
| LightParadox | Daniel Milavsky | $182.50 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Daniel Milavsky | $168.40 |
| 0x62e5… | Daniel Milavsky | $107.65 |
| hellokitty12333 | Daniel Milavsky | $104.25 |
| Qx12 | Daniel Milavsky | $82.89 |
| OdileDeray | Daniel Milavsky | $72.36 |
117 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $8.8k; the 39 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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