Shintaro Mochizuki won. Smart money backed Max Basing (11 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $62k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 30% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 3% | $1.0M |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens | Jaguars 78% · Ravens 23% | $824k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 48% · Suns 52% | $635k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Pete Hegseth 0% | $605k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 41% · Heat 60% | $569k |
| Blues vs. Devils | Blues 20% · Devils 81% | $545k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xdef0… | Shintaro Mochizuki | $161.38 |
| Trumped100000 | Shintaro Mochizuki | $59.04 |
| AutoOdds | Shintaro Mochizuki | $48.17 |
| TE2137 | Shintaro Mochizuki | $37.63 |
| 0x0320… | Shintaro Mochizuki | $27.05 |
| someweirdguesser | Shintaro Mochizuki | $23.03 |
| dougieswim | Shintaro Mochizuki | $17.78 |
| Mimoweicrypto | Shintaro Mochizuki | $13.65 |
| 0x2ed3… | Shintaro Mochizuki | $11.87 |
| charay12 | Shintaro Mochizuki | $11.47 |
| nuswiss | Shintaro Mochizuki | $9.92 |
| 0x1fa8… | Shintaro Mochizuki | $9.60 |
150 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $598; the 60 biggest losers gave up $961. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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