Taylor Fritz won. Smart money backed Alex Molcan (32 ranked wallets, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $782k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.3M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 78% · SK Slavia Praha 7% | $914k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $799k |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli | FC Porto 50% · SSC Napoli 25% | $770k |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | Arsenal FC 53% · SK Slavia Praha 48% | $700k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 999585 | Taylor Fritz | $29k |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Taylor Fritz | $11k |
| MadridTime | Taylor Fritz | $8k |
| Venusian | Taylor Fritz | $7k |
| jtwyslljy | Taylor Fritz | $6k |
| 0x02fd… | Taylor Fritz | $4k |
| Gavrilafara | Taylor Fritz | $4k |
| LightParadox | Taylor Fritz | $3k |
| Limousin | Taylor Fritz | $3k |
| erhher | Taylor Fritz | $3k |
| Sakan1 | Taylor Fritz | $2k |
| Kunkun111 | Alex Molcan | $2k |
535 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $103k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $84k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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