Maxim Mrva won. Smart money backed Thomas Faurel (20 ranked wallets, average entry 36¢) and lost. Volume $52k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 65% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.3M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $895k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $894k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $782k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $403k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $401k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $362k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 50% | $352k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Maxim Mrva | $1k |
| MadridTime | Maxim Mrva | $994.39 |
| RN1 | Maxim Mrva | $924.25 |
| LightParadox | Maxim Mrva | $902.43 |
| NotJump | Maxim Mrva | $415.88 |
| 1lovejump | Maxim Mrva | $370.97 |
| thestingsnake | Maxim Mrva | $214.41 |
| tenet-bot | Maxim Mrva | $201.60 |
| username122 | Maxim Mrva | $160.16 |
| qrup | Maxim Mrva | $155.29 |
| flatbarrel | Maxim Mrva | $143.69 |
| Oulu18 | Maxim Mrva | $138.13 |
131 wallets held a position at the close. The 56 biggest winners took $6.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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