Sumit Nagal won. Smart money backed Hugo Grenier (5 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $56k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 65% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 42% · Bilibili Gaming 58% | $716k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $711k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 41% · No 59% | $670k |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax | AFC Ajax 67% · FC Midtjylland 9% | $547k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 49% · Suns 51% | $490k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Sumit Nagal | $5k |
| RN1 | Sumit Nagal | $3k |
| 0xf12f… | Sumit Nagal | $2k |
| LightParadox | Sumit Nagal | $741.59 |
| thestingsnake | Sumit Nagal | $385.13 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Sumit Nagal | $335.50 |
| Venusian | Sumit Nagal | $325.91 |
| 0x796f… | Sumit Nagal | $317.60 |
| MadridTime | Sumit Nagal | $289.86 |
| 0x87f7… | Sumit Nagal | $203.48 |
| Limousin | Sumit Nagal | $201.30 |
| 1lovejump | Sumit Nagal | $148.09 |
113 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $14k; the 51 biggest losers gave up $17k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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