Sumit Nagal won. Smart money backed Georgii Kravchenko (4 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $41k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 64% · No change 34% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.9M |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 98% · Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań) 12% · KKS Lech Poznań 3% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.5M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 42% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb | GNK Dinamo Zagreb 80% · Sunderland AFC 8% | $635k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 42% · Heat 59% | $561k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 22% · Pete Hegseth 0% | $557k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Sumit Nagal | $912 |
| 0xfd0a… | Sumit Nagal | $445.74 |
| the1prophet | Sumit Nagal | $124.44 |
| hhhizli | Sumit Nagal | $84.48 |
| eFMBS | Sumit Nagal | $52.51 |
| capitalpiston2 | Georgii Kravchenko | $28.15 |
| capitalpiston2 | Sumit Nagal | $23.87 |
| Dex777 | Sumit Nagal | $18.25 |
| yuiui1025 | Sumit Nagal | $17.30 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Sumit Nagal | $15.16 |
| TRCM | Sumit Nagal | $14.82 |
| gigglygoat44 | Sumit Nagal | $12.74 |
64 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $1.8k; the 27 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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