Tommy Paul won. Smart money backed Andrey Rublev (1 ranked wallet, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $521k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $4.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.4M |
| Browns vs. Steelers | Browns 11% · Steelers 90% | $1.1M |
| Ravens vs. Bills | Ravens 22% · Bills 78% | $989k |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Steelers 85% · Browns 16% | $935k |
| Raiders vs. Jets | Raiders 46% · Jets 54% | $929k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 73% · Mike Rogers (R) 28% | $841k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf816… | Tommy Paul | $5k |
| 0x241a… | Tommy Paul | $3k |
| traba | Tommy Paul | $2k |
| TakintheL | Tommy Paul | $2k |
| dhfhhfjf | Tommy Paul | $2k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Tommy Paul | $2k |
| rocket2themoon | Tommy Paul | $1k |
| SOK0L | Tommy Paul | $1k |
| 0xde5d… | Tommy Paul | $1k |
| oxe78sh4w98 | Tommy Paul | $1k |
| chall07 | Tommy Paul | $1k |
| MilesY | Tommy Paul | $626.55 |
313 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $27k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $15k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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