Tiago Pereira won. Smart money backed Filiberto Fumagalli (1 ranked wallet, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $7.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $869k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $535k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez | Mika Stojsavljevic 16% · Zeynep Sonmez 84% | $535k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $338k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| fortuneking | Tiago Pereira | $360 |
| Basquetipster | Tiago Pereira | $20.70 |
| tenet-bot | Tiago Pereira | $17.40 |
| 0xdc85… | Tiago Pereira | $12.77 |
| eFMBS | Tiago Pereira | $9.83 |
| bahn-cuon-baby | Tiago Pereira | $2.81 |
| alwayscha | Tiago Pereira | $2.60 |
| temparal | Tiago Pereira | $2.53 |
| iloveu4ever | Tiago Pereira | $2.20 |
| itoldyouso-849 | Tiago Pereira | $1.26 |
| 0x6318… | Filiberto Fumagalli | −$41.81 |
| 13034431 | Filiberto Fumagalli | −$11.18 |
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $432; the 6 biggest losers gave up $58. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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