Carlos Maria Zarate won. Smart money backed Lucio Ratti (5 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢) and lost. Volume $117k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $971k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 1% · Ivanka Trump 1% | $842k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $693k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 97% | $331k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 69% · Puma Shen 31% | $309k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Carlos Maria Zarate | $3k |
| LightParadox | Carlos Maria Zarate | $1k |
| MadridTime | Carlos Maria Zarate | $935.62 |
| Venusian | Carlos Maria Zarate | $934.05 |
| thestingsnake | Carlos Maria Zarate | $709.22 |
| Limousin | Carlos Maria Zarate | $597.23 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | $457.70 |
| 0x5fd2… | Carlos Maria Zarate | $444.41 |
| rocket2themoon | Carlos Maria Zarate | $424.90 |
| casper7 | Carlos Maria Zarate | $422.10 |
| BABELCONSTEL | Carlos Maria Zarate | $411.38 |
| suitcase6628 | Carlos Maria Zarate | $365.85 |
201 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $13k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $16k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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