Lucio Ratti won. Smart money backed Maximo Zeitune (7 ranked wallets, average entry 57¢) and lost. Volume $35k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Senate Election Winner | Scott Colom (D) 77% · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 24% | $2.3M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 99% · Independent 1% | $1.6M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Byron Donalds 1% · John McEntee 0% · Tim Scott 0% | $1.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 3% | $1.3M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 76% · No change 24% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $1.1M |
| Alaska Senate Election Winner | Mary Peltola (D) 99% · Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) 2% | $868k |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 94% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 3% | $642k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 16% · No 85% | $476k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Lucio Ratti | $906.60 |
| artemaka01 | Lucio Ratti | $545.98 |
| LightParadox | Lucio Ratti | $450.44 |
| 0x92c8… | Lucio Ratti | $439.34 |
| Grega | Lucio Ratti | $434.90 |
| 0x576d… | Lucio Ratti | $245.52 |
| Venusian | Lucio Ratti | $219.52 |
| MadridTime | Lucio Ratti | $159.63 |
| 0xa182… | Lucio Ratti | $134.78 |
| Limousin | Lucio Ratti | $127.78 |
| 0x5eb7… | Lucio Ratti | $73.97 |
| 0x25f7… | Lucio Ratti | $72.41 |
114 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.3k; the 47 biggest losers gave up $5.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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