Valentin Royer won. Smart money backed Harry Wendelken (13 ranked wallets, average entry 47¢) and lost. Volume $198k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $847k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $523k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $427k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $335k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $325k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xa0f2… | Valentin Royer | $29k |
| 0x26bd… | Valentin Royer | $1k |
| 0x35e7… | Valentin Royer | $1k |
| 0x7e32… | Valentin Royer | $1k |
| blank7633 | Valentin Royer | $835.31 |
| ThisaccountisaW | Valentin Royer | $816.36 |
| lirunqi | Valentin Royer | $599.52 |
| ZJUGODFISH | Valentin Royer | $434.48 |
| ndlsldjfmalanfjqka134 | Valentin Royer | $340.74 |
| Tchoupii24 | Valentin Royer | $330.77 |
| 0xe0db… | Valentin Royer | $308.02 |
| ezq-gk-7 | Valentin Royer | $225.04 |
299 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $40k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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