Casper Ruud won. Smart money backed Rafael Jodar (15 ranked wallets, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $494k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 74% · Draw (AEK vs. Real Madrid CF) 16% · AEK 7% | $6.0M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 23% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 57% · Fenerbahçe SK 17% | $1.3M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $770k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · Rahm Emanuel 0% | $531k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Kch-Temp | Casper Ruud | $14k |
| kkookkoo | Casper Ruud | $10k |
| LightParadox | Casper Ruud | $9k |
| 999585 | Casper Ruud | $5k |
| MadridTime | Casper Ruud | $4k |
| Lilybaeum | Casper Ruud | $4k |
| Limousin | Casper Ruud | $4k |
| Venusian | Casper Ruud | $3k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Casper Ruud | $2k |
| tghj20 | Casper Ruud | $2k |
| 0x49e0… | Casper Ruud | $2k |
| one8tyfive | Casper Ruud | $1k |
541 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $74k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $60k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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