Joao Eduardo Schiessl won. Smart money backed Gabriel Schenekenberg (2 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $27k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $912k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $655k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze | Elena Pridankina 1% · Alexandra Shubladze 99% | $557k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $351k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $302.63 |
| 0x3cc6… | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $55.34 |
| Mother-Teresa | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $18.93 |
| tui001 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $9.89 |
| bahn-cuon-baby | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $8.10 |
| AD-01 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $6.31 |
| sdfas | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $5.52 |
| lgSosa | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $4.06 |
| ALPHYN | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $3.76 |
| MeBetting | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $3.32 |
| Yanis2603 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $1.69 |
| Simon971 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | $1.15 |
25 wallets held a position at the close. The 16 biggest winners took $424; the 9 biggest losers gave up $4.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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